SUA Staff– Stand Up America is tracking this closely and has been for five years in cooperation with Iranian Opposition Factions. In our view based on close hold reports, Iran already possesses a small nuclear warhead capability that can be launched on the new Shehab missile platforms. Though the media parrots the words of politicians concerning Iran’s plans and capabilities, SUA sources know otherwise, and we need to prepare for the worst, hoping for the best has not been a good business plan to date.

Tactical nuclear artillery shell explodes - yield one to two-kilotons

A one-kiloton device is considered tactical, and does not raise the fears we once lived with daily from massive Russian device, but any nuclear device of any size is by definition, a weapon of mass destruction.

Israeli media: Iran to test one-kiloton nuclear device in 2012

PanARMENIAN.Net – Tehran is preparing an underground test of a one-kiloton nuclear device during 2012, much like the test carried out by North Korea in 2006. Underground facilities are under construction in great secrecy behind the noise and fury raised by the start of advanced uranium enrichment at Iran’s fortified, subterranean Fordo site near Qom.

According to a scenario prepared by the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS) at Tel Aviv University, Israel was resigned to a nuclear Iran and the US would offer Israel a defense pact while urging Israel not to retaliate.

As quoted by the London Times Monday, Jan 1, INSS experts, neither the US nor Israel will use force to stop Iran’s first nuclear test which they predicted would take place in January 2013, DEBKA Israeli news agency reported.

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The effects of any nuclear explosion are devastating. The proposed test of a one-kiloton device may be small, but again its a test to preserve as much material as possible, while still maintaining the correct reaction. If they can detonate one-kiloton, its a matter of scope thereafter.

Effects

Explosive yield / Height of Burst

1 kT / 200 m

20 kT / 540 m

1 MT / 2.0 km

20 MT / 5.4 km

Blast—effective ground range GR / km

Urban areas completely levelled (20 psi/140 kPa)

0.2

0.6

2.4

6.4

Destruction of most civilian buildings (5 psi/34 kPa)

0.6

1.7

6.2

17

Moderate damage to civilian buildings (1 psi/6.9 kPa)

1.7

4.7

17

47

Railway cars thrown from tracks and crushed (0.63 [[kp/cm2]] = 62 kPa; values for other than 20 kT are extrapolated using the cube-root scaling)

≈0.4

1.0

≈4

≈10

Thermal radiation—effective ground range GR / km

Conflagration

0.5

2.0

10

30

Third degree burns

0.6

2.5

12

38

Second degree burns

0.8

3.2

15

44

First degree burns

1.1

4.2

19

53

Effects of instant nuclear radiation—effective slant range1 SR / km

Lethal2 total dose (neutrons and gamma rays)

0.8

1.4

2.3

4.7

Total dose for acute radiation syndrome2

1.2

1.8

2.9

5.4